it's florida, it's virginia, it's new hampshire. why? he needs those three states plus either ohio or pennsylvania in order to get to his magic number. >> all right. so what's the route that they like to get to 270? start with the president. >> well, i'm going to give you the simplest routes for both of them. and for the president, it's that midwestern firewall. p pennsylvania here. i think they believe that's in their case. so if that's the case and you give the firewall to the president, you see iowa is a luxury here. he is either at 271 before you put iowa there if you put ohio and wisconsin. watch the numbers here if you will. now, the simplest way for mitt romney, florida and virginia. it also means new hampshire. it also means colorado. and then if he is putting pennsylvania in play, it's one of these states. if you look here, that's the importance of pennsylvania. wisconsin might be enough. he could lose ohio, iowa, and pennsylvania and get there. the problem is, wisconsin is looking like a state of the same day registration state